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Risk-targeted seismic design maps for mainland France

机译:法国本土以风险为导向的抗震设计图

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摘要

In this article, the recently proposed approach known as 'risk targeting' for the development of national seismic design maps is investigated for mainland France. Risk targeting leads to ground-motion maps that, if used for design purposes, would lead to a uniform level of risk nationally. The Eurocode 8 design loads currently in force for France are used as the basis of this study. Because risk targeting requires various choices on, for example, the level of acceptable risk to be made a priori and these choices are not solely engineering decisions but involve input from decision makers we undertake sensitivity tests to study their influence. It is found that, in contrast to applications of this methodology for US cities, risk targeting does not lead to large modifications with respect to the national seismic hazard map nor to changes in the relative ranking of cities with respect to their design ground motions. This is because the hazard curves for French cities are almost parallel. In addition, we find that using a target annual collapse probability of about 10-5 for seismically designed buildings and a probability of collapse when subjected to the design PGA of 10-5 leads to reasonable results. This is again in contrast to US studies that have adopted much higher values for both these probabilities.
机译:在本文中,针对法国大陆调查了最近提出的用于开发国家地震设计图的“风险定位”方法。以风险为目标会生成地面运动图,如果将其用于设计目的,则会在全国范围内导致统一的风险水平。本研究的基础是目前对法国有效的Eurocode 8设计载荷。因为针对风险要求在先验可接受风险的水平等方面进行各种选择,并且这些选择不仅是工程决策,还涉及决策者的意见,因此我们进行敏感性测试以研究其影响。研究发现,与这种方法在美国城市中的应用相反,风险目标既不会导致对国家地震灾害地图的重大修改,也不会导致城市相对于其设计地震动的相对排名发生变化。这是因为法国城市的危险曲线几乎是平行的。此外,我们发现,对于抗震设计的建筑物,使用约10-5的目标年度倒塌概率,并在进行10-5的PGA设计时发生倒塌的概率会得出合理的结果。再次与美国的研究相反,美国的研究对这两种可能性都采用了更高的值。

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